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“Matrixport’s Markus Thielen suggests a counter-intuitive strategy for crypto traders – taking long positions on bitcoin with a stop loss below $25,800. The strategy banks on a potential fall in Treasury yields, bolstering the appeal of risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.”

Matrixport’s Bitcoin Greed and Fear Index predicts a surge for Bitcoin, rising from 30% to 60% after a July slump. The Index is indicating bullish market dynamics, suggesting Bitcoin prices could resume their uptrend. However, traditional market volatility and upcoming SEC decisions on ETF filings add a level of uncertainty to Bitcoin’s future performance.

Matrixport, a crypto services company, anticipates a bullish trend for Bitcoin, reaching $125,000 by end of 2024. This is based on a pattern of Bitcoin’s historical growth and ‘mining reward halving’ events. However, the company warns that cryptocurrency investments are susceptible to unpredictable fluctuations affected by regulatory policies and broader economic conditions.

Bitcoin has witnessed a 20% price increase, pushing the Matrixport’s Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index to 93%. Meanwhile, crypto custody company Prime Trust faces a shortfall in customer funds, and JPMorgan expands its blockchain-based JPM Coin for euro payments, with Siemens making the first euro transaction.

Matrixport suggests the SEC may approve several spot Bitcoin ETFs, triggering a potential surge in Bitcoin price. However, uncertainties regarding surveillance-sharing agreements may lead to a price correction. The report recommends investors have sufficient “upside exposure” during ETF application response periods.

Matrixport’s research reveals shrinking profit margins may be forcing Bitcoin miners to sell their newly mined inventory. Increased mining difficulty and unprofitability of older machines contribute to this pressure, raising questions on the sustainability of high gains in the longer term.

“Analyses of Bitcoin suggest a possible decisive move in its trajectory as early as November, based on its earlier cyclical trends leading up to a halving event. However, factors like global macroeconomics and the Federal Reserve’s decisions might also play a decisive role. Despite market predictions, investors are advised to maintain a diversified portfolio and stay updated with crypto market and blockchain developments.”

The bankruptcy claims against crypto exchange FTX, once seen as high-risk, have now tripled in market value and become a coveted asset for distressed asset investors. Due to recovery of $7.3 billion in assets and potential relaunch of the exchange, creditor payouts have shot up on average from 10 to 37 cents on the dollar, highlighting the shifting value perception and volatility in this industry.

“In the wake of China’s significant capital flight and a weakening Yuan, the Bitcoin market may see a surge as investors search for alternatives to the feeble domestic market. Despite China’s strict capital controls, crypto may emerge as a lucrative option. However, prevailing uncertainties about the present impact of capital flight on Bitcoin, compared to 2017, remain. Industry changes in the Ethereum universe with the sunsetting of toolkits, Ganache and Truffle, also reflect this blockchain uncertainty.”

“Bitcoin’s price faced a slight disruption due to fears around crypto exchange FTX offloading their digital treasures. However, market-defining announcements like Franklin Templeton’s bid to list a spot BTC ETF and Deutsche Bank’s foray into digital assets may cushion any drastic price falls. Regrettably, altcoins like Apecoin struggle to keep pace with Bitcoin’s resilience.”

This excerpt gives an overview of the recent market fluctuations triggered by FTX’s potential liquidation of crypto holdings, featuring significant stakes in Bitcoin and Solana. Despite the panic, experts argue that this anticipated chaos may have been overhyped, with sales likely to be gradual and strategic.

“Bitcoin’s sudden recovery to approximately $26,000 raises questions about the influence of major exchanges. However, without strong bullish catalysts, this resurgence may face resistance. Fears of an altcoin crash emerge as FTX exchange plans to offload an estimated $3.4 billion in altcoins, hinting at a bearish market for this crypto category.”

“FTX is projected to sell around $3.4 billion worth of crypto assets by the end of 2023, contributing to potential market volatility. Altcoins may be particularly affected, with VC funds also becoming pivotal sellers. This increased volatility, however, may create investment opportunities for those bullish on blockchain’s future.”

“Cryptocurrency market volatility continues with Bitcoin experiencing a drop over 2%, Ethereum declining by 3.2%, and Solana’s SOL falling by over 8%. This descent is linked to potential liquidations of FTX’s $3.4 billion crypto assets, which may trigger an ‘altcoin crash”. While market turbulence creates investment opportunities, maintaining exposure to Bitcoin is advised amidst unstable altcoin conditions.”

“Bitcoin (BTC) holdings on centralized exchanges have decreased by 4%, reflecting a growing trend of traders using private wallets. This shift may mitigate massive sell-offs, but also raises concerns for new users dependent on exchanges. Recent security breaches have foregrounded the need for self-custody measures, as the crypto market undergoes a key metamorphosis.”

“The shrinking balance of Bitcoin on centralized exchanges, now at its lowest in half a decade, could signal a new phase in the crypto market. This decreasing reserve signifies growing investor confidence in long-term prospects of cryptocurrencies and a trend towards self-custody. The changing paradigm necessitates exchanges to reevaluate their business models for maintaining profitability.”

“Ethereum’s native token, ether, outperformed bitcoin despite a broader market crash. Historically, investors rally behind bitcoin during market stress, yet the recent spike in the ETH ratio marks a change. This might be due to optimism surrounding potential launch of ether futures-based ETFs in the U.S.”

“Bitcoin has rallied by 70% since the beginning of the year. Markus Thielen, Matrixport’s Head of Research and Strategy, warns that should the trendline be invalidated, Bitcoin might face more significant losses. Careful observation and strategic adaptations will be key.”

Analysts suggest potential market shifts like spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, PayPal’s stablecoin, and an Ethereum upgrade could disrupt the crypto market inertia. Despite recent lethargy, there are anticipations of rekindled enthusiasm due to increased institutional acceptance of cryptocurrencies and indicators of future crypto adoption.