Search Results for: Treasury

Recent developments in the US economy, such as rising treasury yields and national debt, suggest a bullish future for Bitcoin. Former crypto exchange CEO, Arthur Hayes, speculates this could lead to mass liquidity injections, possibly triggering a Bitcoin bull run. However, the volatile interplay between these economic factors also warrants caution.

“The intricate relationship between Bitcoin price and U.S. Treasury yields has been discussed with Bitcoin halvings often paralleling “relative local lows” in the 10-year Treasury yield. However, this correlation might not necessarily be a causal link. The dynamics driving Bitcoin’s price could be influenced more complexly, possibly by a shift towards riskier assets rather than trends in Treasury yields.”

“Tether, one of the world’s leading buyers of US Treasury bills, has increased its holdings to $72.5 billion. Despite the complexities expansion brings, this represents the growing mainstream acceptance of digital currencies and their incorporation into the traditional financial world.”

“Tether recently disclosed a Q2 attestation, revealing a $3.3 billion jump in its excess reserves. Despite raising market concerns due to increasing U.S. Treasury bill holdings, Tether maintains 100% reserves for USDT tokens and continues growing financially. Transparency around reinvested profits becomes key to investor confidence.”

“Blockchain-based investment products that turn U.S. Treasury bills, bonds, and money market funds into tokenized forms amass a market value of $614 million, with the potential to reach $5 trillion over the next five years. However, the tokenizing assets trend needs regulatory oversight and potential market manipulation consideration.”

US Treasury bonds’ rising yields spark questions about their impact on Bitcoin price, as the cryptocurrency seemingly decouples from its typical inverse correlation with bond yields. Amid higher inflation expectations, investors seeking safety in government bonds face growing global recession risks, leading to uncertainties in navigating the relationship between Bitcoin, inflation, and government bonds.

MakerDAO recently acquired $700 million in US Treasury bonds, raising their total allocation to $1.2 billion. The move aims to generate annualized yields of 4.5%, strengthen Maker’s platform and DAI stablecoin, and attract more participants to the DeFi ecosystem. However, it also raises concerns about potential vulnerabilities from traditional market fluctuations.

The US Treasury Department’s TGA refill has not significantly impacted risk markets, says BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes. He remains bullish on Bitcoin and believes a price rally will come, as net liquidity index remains positive and the debt ceiling deal hasn’t severely affected financial markets or US dollar liquidity.

Cryptocurrency asset management platform Finblox brings tokenized US Treasurys to Southeast Asia’s emerging markets, offering a safer mechanism for generating sustainable yield. Partnering with OpenEden, the smart contract vault provides 24/7 access to tokenized Treasury bills, attracting international investors and fostering trust in the cryptocurrency space.

The U.S. Treasury Department’s $173 billion Treasury bills auction could drain U.S. dollar liquidity from the financial market and increase selling pressure on the crypto market, including Bitcoin. This move raises the risk of recession and may result in higher volatility and weaker returns for cryptocurrencies. However, the long-term outcome remains uncertain, as some investors may hedge against recession and inflation with digital currencies.

The crypto market is in an accumulation phase, with Bitcoin below $27K and BRC-20 tokens nearing a $500 million market cap. The U.S. Treasury replenishment process and the future of BRC-20 tokens play significant roles in market development. Investors anticipate Ether’s growth and Litecoin’s halving event.

In response to potential market turbulence due to the U.S. debt ceiling showdown, Circle Internet Financial has divested from U.S. Treasury bonds, backing its USD Coin (USDC) with overnight repurchase agreements instead. This strategic move aims to protect the USDC stablecoin from potential bond market disruptions as lawmakers scramble to avoid a government default. The effectiveness of this strategy remains uncertain.

The ongoing deadlock in US government debt limit negotiations could potentially negatively impact the crypto market. A successful deal may lead to a withdrawal of liquidity from the system, affecting bitcoin and gold prices. The crypto market could face adverse consequences due to its dependence on fiat liquidity.

Bitcoin could face losses in Q3 2023 due to the expected agreement on raising the U.S. debt ceiling, which might increase Treasury’s liquidity and impact risk asset markets, including cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin may struggle to reclaim yearly highs, with prices likely ranging between $20,000-$30,000 unless a new narrative or significant catalyst emerges.

The rising 10-year yield on US Treasury bills surpassed yields offered by DeFi protocols, impacting the competitive edge of DeFi investments. Some Ethereum-based liquid staking providers outperform US-backed bonds; however, crypto yields can be volatile, and risks like market fluctuations must be considered.

A recent Bloomberg survey reveals that in case of a U.S. debt default, investors would turn to gold, U.S. Treasury Bonds, and Bitcoin as top assets. This highlights shifting perceptions of cryptocurrencies as potential safe-haven assets in the broader financial landscape amidst economic uncertainty.

The ongoing talk around the US debt ceiling and possible default may attract buyers to hard assets like Bitcoin. Avi Felman and Jonah Van Bourg discuss the potential for Bitcoin prices to surge if the US defaults, suggesting it could lead to a burst in buying sentiment and drive people to move money from fiat to crypto.