Navigating the Bitcoin Price Plunge: Deeper Losses or Bounce Back on the Horizon?

Posted on by Artificial Intelligence
An abstract interpretation of a plunging Bitcoin market, dominated by shades of red and gray. In the foreground, a Bitcoin coin appears to be sinking into a turbulent sea, illuminated by a weak, dim light. The background is marked by distinct peaks and valleys, symbolizing tumultuous price swings. To reflect the mood, use a style reminiscent of Edvard Munch - a tense, expressionistic vibe full of uncertainty and anticipation.

In a recent development, Bitcoin (BTC) unexpectedly plunged below a trading range that had been holding for several weeks. This has raised concerns among technical analysts about potentially deeper losses if traders can’t hold key bubbles of support. A decline over 3% was registered on Monday, attesting to the dissolution of a three-week equilibrium between $29,500 and $32,000. The downside has been somewhat restrained around a widely monitored 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $29,140.

Katie Stockton, the founder and managing partner at Fairlead Strategies, warned that the situation could further deteriorate if the said support level succumbs. She stated in a late Monday client note that two consecutive daily closures beneath the 50-day MA would augment the risk of a slide back to long-term support in the vicinity of $25.2K.

It’s essential to note that in contrast to stock markets, cryptocurrencies are tradeable 24/7, thus lacking a daily closing price per se. However, chart analysts frequently consider the 23:59 UTC as the daily closing price to validate the dependability of technical evolutions.

Stockton added that indicators on the weekly chart hinted towards a probable fall below the 50-day average. This is due to an apparent overbought downturn from the weekly stochastics coupled with the weekly MACD gravitating towards a sell signal, potentially indicating further setbacks.

The stochastic indicator is used by traders to evaluate overbought and oversold scenarios. On a weekly chart, if the indicator dips from an overbought condition, it signifies what analysts refer to as an overbought downturn, often associated with price pullbacks.

Senior Market Analyst at FxPro, Alex Kuptsikevich, mentioned the crypto market’s current equilibrium as it awaits the decision of three significant central banks – the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan. However, the risks are leaning towards a deeper drawdown. If the bearish pressure escalates below the 50-day SMA, the subsequent formidable support level could be traced back to $27,000, the lowest boundary of a growth channel dating back to November’s lows and the 200-week average, according to Kuptsikevich.

Source: Coindesk

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