With a monumental decision looming courtesy of Grayscale, spectators and analysts posit that a supporting conclusion could likely transpire this week. Seemingly, Grayscale, with a crypto portfolio already inclusive of Bitcoin, has earnestly pursued turning its Bitcoin trust into a legitimate, accredited Bitcoin ETF. Nevertheless, with a firm gripe against the federal securities regulator, the decision on their filed lawsuit is presumed to surface before this week concludes.
Looking into the matter, Scott Johnson, a key partner at Van Buren Capital, underscores that law clerks within U.S. District Courts typically cycle out in August, strongly impacting the judges’ tendency to address their caseloads before new recruits take over. Interestingly, 30 out of 32 cases in March 2021 and 2022 were addressed by U.S. District Courts within 160 days, incidentally around August. Johnson further highlights that it has been 160 days since Grayscale presented its arguments against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on March 7th.
Nevertheless, Bloomberg analyst, James Seyffart, has cushioned this speculation, suggesting that this verdict could potentially emerge as early as August 15th. He elucidates this date as his own theoretical Grayscale decision point. On this conjecture, Johnson agrees, deeming Seyffart’s prediction as a fairly sound bet.
However, the odds may seem to favor Grayscale, one cannot ignore the events that had led to this skepticism. In June 2022, Grayscale’s application to convert its GBTC to a Bitcoin ETF was discarded by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Consequently, Grayscale went ahead to sue the securities regulator, arguing the inconsistent application towards similar investment vehicles.
This contention isn’t supported by Grayscale alone. Several industry experts, including ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood and ETF analyst Nate Geraci, have tipped Grayscale to score a victory in the lawsuit against the federal securities regulator. Reiterating Grayscale’s stance, they insisted that the SEC should consent to all Bitcoin spot ETF applications concurrently. The balanced approval will ensure no singular firm gains an advantage over other applicants vying for the same opportunity.
While the investor community keeps a close watch on Grayscale’s ETF decision, the larger implication of this ruling cannot be understated. A victory and subsequent ETF approval could prove revolutionary for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, paving the way for unprecedented legitimacy and growth in the larger crypto landscape. This potential verdict arrives in the midst of a significant moment within the crypto world, where key decisions can potentially reshape the future trajectory of cryptocurrency as a whole.
Source: Cointelegraph